Ducks-Bruins in Battle of Overvalued Teams

They say it’s better to be lucky than good. The Anaheim Ducks have enjoyed some of both; as we go to press, they’re in first place in the Western Conference at 46-21-2-5, but that includes a ridiculously fortunate 29-1-2-5 record in games decided by one goal. The Ducks will test their luck Thursday night against the Boston Bruins, who need to go find some four-leaf clovers if they’re going to clinch a playoff spot in the East. At 36-25-3-9, the Bruins are clinging to the last Wild Card spot in their conference after losing five in a row. Their 28-45 record against the puck line is well below break-even at minus-11.50 units in earnings, but that’s nothing compared to the Ducks at 27-47 ATS record and minus-27.57 units. Only the last-place Arizona Coyotes (33-40 ATS, minus-30.78 units) have lost more money this year. To emphasize how overvalued Anaheim is, Hockey Reference has the Ducks at plus-0.14 on the Simple Rating System, leaving them seventh overall in the West. Boston’s plus-0.02 SRS translates to ninth place in the East. Game time for this matchup at the Garden is 7:00 PM ET on the NHL Network.